Prediction of Alex Barrena vs Mariano Kestelboim at Villa Maria Challenger 09-19-25

Wojtek Kolan
Published on 24 Apr at 08:41 PM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
A. Barrena vs M. Kestelboim

ARG
3
Win
Played
2
Win

ARG
3
Win
Played
2
Win
A. Barrena Vs M. Kestelboim Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Alex Barrena has a 61.85% chance to get the victory. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
---|---|---|
A. Barrena | 61.85% | 1.53 |
M. Kestelboim | 38.15% | 2.48 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
Head-To-Head: Barrena 3 - 2 Kestelboim
Alex Barrena and Mariano Kestelboim have contested a total of 10 sets, each claiming victory in 5 of them. Their most recent encounter took place on clay at the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger on April 25, 2025, during the quarterfinals, where Alex Barrena triumphed with a scoreline of 6-0, 6-2.
Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
---|---|
Barrena | 3 |
Kestelboim | 2 |
Last H2H Matches:
(QF) San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger(04-25-25)
(Q1) Buenos Aires Challenger(01-12-25)
(R1) M25 Rio Cuarto(10-11-22)
A. Barrena Vs M. Kestelboim Best Odds
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A. Barrena vs M. Kestelboim H2H Profile
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
$0 | Career Prize Money | $0 |
56.94% (160-121) | Career Total W/L | 60.12% (404-268) |
3 | Clay | 2 |
8 | Titles | 5 |
3 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
0% (0-0) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
A. Barrena vs M. Kestelboim Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alex Barrena has won 44.56% of points on their second serve, while Mariano Kestelboim has won 41.06%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alex Barrena, in recent form, has won 46.79% of their opponent's second serve points, while Mariano Kestelboim has won 44.41%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.98% and 34.68% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alex Barrena has saved 48.01% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Mariano Kestelboim has saved 50.94% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alex Barrena has won 67.50% of matches played (W/L 54/ 26), with Mariano Kestelboim winning 59.02% (W/L 54/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alex Barrena has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 157/ 112), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 25% (W/L 3/ 9). Mariano Kestelboim has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 369/ 242), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 0% (W/L 0/ 1).
- Player level: In the last year, Alex Barrena has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 64.71% of matches (W/L 33/ 18), where as Mariano Kestelboim has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 54.35% of matches (W/L 25/ 21). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Alex Barrena winning 2 times and Mariano Kestelboim being victorious 2 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Alex Barrena winning 5 and Mariano Kestelboim winning 5. The last match between Alex Barrena and Mariano Kestelboim was at the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger, 25-04-2025, Round: QF, Surface: Clay, with Alex Barrena getting the victory 6-0 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:29:38.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alex Barrena has played against opponents with an average rank of 382.25 while Mariano Kestelboim has played against players with an average rank of 369.54.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alex Barrena has won 64% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Mariano Kestelboim has won 56% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alex Barrena has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Mariano Kestelboim has converted 37.13% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Alex Barrena vs Mariano Kestelboim Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. Barrena vs M. Kestelboim H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
2 | H2H Matches Won | 2 |
5 | Sets Won | 5 |
45 | Games Won | 42 |
10 | Aces (Total) | 0 |
14 | Total Double Faults | 12 |
1:29:38 | Avg. Match Time | 1:29:38 |
65% (186/285) | 1st Serve % | 66% (186/280) |
61% (114/186) | 1st Serve Win % | 58% (108/186) |
39% (39/99) | 2nd Serve Win % | 38% (36/94) |
58% (21/36) | Break Pts Won % | 53% (19/36) |
49% (136/280) | Return Pts Won % | 46% (132/285) |
50% (2/4) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (2/4) |
100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won → Match Won | 67% (2/3) |
0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won → Match Lost | 33% (1/3) |
33% (1/3) | 1st Set Lost → Match Won | 0% (0/2) |
A. Barrena Vs M. Kestelboim Current Event Stats
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
2 | Matches Played | 2 |
2:01:40 | Last Match Time | 2:14:15 |
3:34:24 | Total Time | 3:44:28 |
71% (12/17) | Break Points Saved | 60% (9/15) |
76% (16/21) | Service Hold % | 73% (16/22) |
62% (13/21) | Opponent Hold % | 59% (13/22) |
0% (0/2) | Tiebreak Win % | 0% (0/0) |
0% (0/0) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
1.00 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 0.00 |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in Villa Maria Challenger.
Recent Performance Stats
A. Barrena Recent Matches Played
M. Kestelboim Recent Matches Played
Where To Watch Barrena Vs Kestelboim?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Barrena Vs Kestelboim is now available here.

A. Barrena vs M. Kestelboim Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
58.36% (157/112) | YTD Win/Loss | 60.39% (369/242) |
57.53% (344/254) | Sets Win/Loss | 58.46% (805/572) |
53.06% (2875/2543) | Games Win/Loss | 54.24% (6657/5617) |
0.14 | Aces Per Game | 0.07 |
368 | Aces Total | 390 |
0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.16 |
553 | Total Double Faults | 935 |
1:35:47 | Average Match Time | 1:23:32 |
450.52 | Average Opponent Rank | 485.56 |
67% (10888/16265) | 1st Serve % | 72% (21191/29602) |
62% (6781/10888) | 1st Serve Win % | 61% (12963/21191) |
48% (2572/5376) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (4030/8423) |
48% (956/1987) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 47% (1883/3980) |
45% (7498/16696) | Return Points Win % | 46% (14014/30187) |
59% (152/256) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 60% (361/599) |
33% (1/3) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (4/4) |
55% (32/58) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 50% (49/98) |
52% (35/67) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (88/160) |
87% (152/132) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 91% (357/324) |
13% (152/20) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 9% (357/32) |
21% (117/25) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 17% (254/43) |
Other Tennis Predictions Today
Potential H2H Matches This Week
Barrena (Villa Maria Challenger)
Kestelboim (Villa Maria Challenger)
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